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Long-term capital mismanagement

Inspiration

    In 1994, a group of remarkable intellectuals and market veterans, led by John Merriwether, created Long Term Capital Management. LTCM was formed mostly from the Salomon Brother’s bond arbitrage department that Merriwether had run until 1991, when a Treasury bond scandal forced his resignation. Merriwether, who was highly publicized in Michael Lewis’s Liar's Poker, quickly gathered his loyalists at Saloman to create LTCM. He transformed it into the “smart money” on the street, spurring typical client relations with Long Term’s banks. Long Term charged heavy fees on the money it managed: It took 25% of the fund's yearly gains, along with 2% of total assets. Despite this, the fund averaged spectacular returns in its first three years; A dollar in the fund in 1994 was worth more than $4 in 1998. In 1997, Long Term Partner’s Myron Scholes and Robert Merton would win the Nobel Prize, cementing the firm's reputation of genius. LTCM’s strategy was using highly leveraged convergence trades to profit at seemingly no inherent risk. The firm had some of the most advanced analytical risk management ever. With thousands of separate trades, Long Terms mathematicians predicted that an existential threat to the firm would only occur roughly once in the lifetime of the universe, deemed a statistical impossibility. Only 4 years after its creation, LTCM had imploded, nearly destroying the financial system. 

What we do:

Typically, capital flows to Hedge Funds during periods of uncertainty. We founded Long Term Capital Mismanagement during one of the most difficult market times in living memory. Dual inflation and recession risk make almost every asset class unattractive. Therefore, we founded a zero-delta fund that is unaffected by macro risk. Long Term Capital Mismanagement takes advantage of small pricing inefficiencies between two similar instruments. Using extreme paper leverage, we intend to produce a higher risk adjusted return than the current volatile market. Our high level of leverage leaves us vulnerable to Black Swan events, where market pricing may remain irrational for an extended period of time, so we will use various tail hedging techniques to protect ourselves, with a minimal impact on overall returns.

Our Lessons:

Our Lessons: We lack Schole’s mathematical grasp of financial instruments, Merriwether’s Wall Street Experience(and Liar's Poker Expertise), Hilibrands grasp of arbitrage, and all of Long Term's ability to do highly specialized trades. Without much effort, we should easily outperform all of them. Hedge Funds rarely live up to their vaunted reputation as the smartest, most cunning operators in the industry. They almost universally perform worse than the market over long periods of time, without truly being  “hedged out” when market volatility worsens. 

Why LTCMis?

Superior risk adjusted returns
Active black swan hedging
 10 Years of combined Experience
Difficult macro environment

The Team

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Web Designer

Tolga Onal

Tolga is Long Term websites lead designer. He manages the website and is always looking for ways to innovate. 

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Portfolio Manager

Emanuel Rouvelas

Emanuel manages the main book. He utilizes data to balance portfolio risk and is the primary trader. 

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Lead Analyst

Gavin Lee

Gavin Is Long Terms lead analyst. He works alongside the portfolio manager to discover market opportunities. 

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Contact

CONTACT US

email:
address:

6612 Orland Street,
Falls Church, VA 22043

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